Resumen

BUENAVENTURA RIGOL-CARDONA, Rubén; REYES-GOMEZ, Erik; LOPEZ-MILAN, Esteban  y  PLA-ARAGONES, Luís Miquel. Forecast of a North Benz truck fleet´s monthly mileage. Ingeniería Mecánica [online]. 2021, vol.24, n.1, pp. 15-28.  Epub 07-Jun-2021. ISSN 1815-5944.

Trucks became essential for the freight transportation systems´ functioning and the enterprises considered several variables in their operations. One variable was the mileage, where fluctuations were observed with assignable causes to the enterprises in several occasions and it decreased over the time. This paper´s objective was to forecast one North Benz truck´s possible monthly mileage in a 33 truck fleet for the 2021 year. The truck´s possible monthly mileage variation was attenuated using the moving average technique. It was obtained a mathematical model of the monthly mileage´s moving average according to the truck age, the mileage´s typical deviation and the mileage´s relative error. The model was applied to forecast the North Benz truck fleet´s performance at the enterprise. It contributed to facilitate the enterprise´s decision taking on the transportation offer and incomeses.

Palabras clave : truck fleet; statistical method; monthly mileage; forecast.

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