Resumen

ALONSO, Yoandy et al. Wind resources assessment of Cuba in future climate scenarios. Energética [online]. 2018, vol.39, n.2, pp. 106-114. ISSN 1815-5901.

A preliminary analysis of the behavior of the wind speed is presented using the regional climate model PRECIS, focusing on changes in the distribution of this variable for three periods of 30 years in the future 2011-2040, 20412070 and 2071-2099. The regional climate model PRECIS is used in high resolution scenarios of climate change SRESA1B, using boundary conditions from the MCG ECHAM5 and 6 of the 16 members of the set of perturbed physics HadCM3 MCG. It was found that changes in wind speed will be higher in the eastern and northern coast, becoming statistically significant for the second half of this century with an increase in wind magnitude between 0.1 and 0.4 m s⁻¹. It is concluded that these areas of increased wind power match with the current projection of the Cuban wind program where the construction of 13 new wind farms are contemplated.

Palabras clave : wind resource assessment; wind power; climate model PRECIS; changes wind speed; climate change scenarios.

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