Resumo

FUNDORA NEVOT, Geydis et al. Elimination, Reduction or Widening of Equity Gaps? Methodological Proposal for the Prospective Analysis of Inequalities in Different Policy Scenarios. Estudios del Desarrollo Social [online]. 2021, vol.9, n.3  Epub 01-Dez-2021. ISSN 2308-0132.

The formulation of social policies, from a participatory management in Cuba, is key to promoting fair development. This requires various methodologies. One of them is prospective analysis. Within the framework of the national science project “Participatory social policies: keys to equity and sustainability”, this analysis was applied in order to forecast the behavior of inequalities in different policy scenarios. A thirteen-step methodology was designed, which is described in the article, which was applied during three editions of the Permanent Seminar on Social Policies. In this way, it was possible to identify that in the trend scenario there is a greater propensity for the reproduction, reconfiguration and deepening of inequalities. The application of research-action-participation principles, the triangulation of methodologies and sources of information and intersectional analysis, stand out as innovative and relevant elements for prospective analysis in studies on the effects of policies on inequalities.

Palavras-chave : prospective analysis; inequalities; equity; social policies.

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