Resumo

PLANOS GUTIERREZ, Eduardo O.. Approach to potential water resources in Cuba by 2030. Ing. hidrául. ambient. [online]. 2022, vol.43, n.1, pp. 48-62.  Epub 22-Fev-2022. ISSN 2788-6050.

The objective of the article is to present an approximation to the potential water scenarios in Cuba in the year 2030; accompanied by a reflection on the status of the main factors involved in the hydraulic sector and their commitments to development goals. Based on traditional hydrological methods and on the results obtained with geospatial information systems, a climatic water balance is carried out at the country scale, using the Budyko model, for the 1961-1990 baseline and the climatic scenarios obtained through the regional climate model “PRECIS”. The validity of the method is demonstrated Budyko and that Cuba is producing a reduction of potential water resources will be increased to the future.

Palavras-chave : water balance; climate change; evapotranspiration; water resources; precipitation.

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