Resumo

HERNANDEZ DIAZ, Neysis  e  CASTRO SIERRA, Frank Alain. Cognitive maps with fuzzy numbers operations to determine the impact of the risks in the project development time. Rev cuba cienc informat [online]. 2019, vol.13, n.3, pp. 30-46. ISSN 2227-1899.

Model for the uncertainty analysis of risks in software development projects from the approaches posed by the use of causal modeling techniques (Fuzzy Cognitive Maps) with basic number operations blurred. The proposed model includes a static view and a description of each of the component parts being applicable to the management of risks and the likelihood and impact of each of the risks identified and analyzed during the project life cycle. It allows estimating the impact of a risk at the time of project development with the use of fuzzy logic and fuzzy operations for a possible risk assessment. Its application in real projects shows that we can estimate the effect on risk in development time in case of uncertainty.

Palavras-chave : Fuzzy Cognitive Maps; risks; uncertainty.

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