Introduction:

In the last ten years, the mortality rate from breast cancer has remained apparently stable, one in 8 women is affected by this disease, and in 20 years this figure could rise.

Objectives:

Estimate the trend of mortality from breast cancer, and predict the magnitude of mortality from this disease for the five-year period 2015-2020.

Methods:

A multicenter, observational, descriptive, longitudinal and prospective study was carried out in the General Surgery Service of the Provincial Hospital "Saturnino Lora" in Santiago de Cuba, in the period between September 2012 and December 2015. The population The reference was made up of all 1579 patients who died in the province of Santiago de Cuba, carriers of breast cancer.

Results:

37.4% of the total died between 2010 and 2014, the highest case fatality rate was in the period between 2000 and 2004.

Conclusions:

The risk of dying and the severity of the disease have decreased significantly in the analysis period. A slightly elevated trend is evident in breast cancer cases in the province of Santiago de Cuba, where it is expected that this health situation will continue to rise for the next five years.

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