Abstract

ATRIO MOURINO, Nieves; GONZALEZ DIAZ, Alexander  and  GONZALEZ OCHOA, Edilberto. Incidence and prevalence of leprosy. AMC [online]. 2013, vol.17, n.5, pp.572-583. ISSN 1025-0255.

Background: in 2011, the WHO estimated 194 141 new cases of leprosy worldwide, mainly concentrated in India, China, Thailand, and Brazil. Cuba eliminated leprosy as a public health problem in 1993. Objective: to assess the tendency of case reports of leprosy in the province of Camagüey. Method: the notification of the disease since 1997 was analyzed. The annual medium percentage and of total variation of the diagnosed cases and the prevalence were calculated; and the prognosis till 2013 was estimated through the exponential-smoothing technique. Results: the rate of cases detection (incidence) really dropped of 9/100 000 in 1977 to 5.8 in 2000 but with fluctuations, and it drops constantly since 2001 (6.6/100 000 to 3.8 in 2012; in 2013, the prognosis was of 2.3/100 000) (IC 95 %, 1, 4-3, 7). Besides, the prevalence dropped in a 72 % from 2000 to 2012. Conclusions: compared to the previous period, the detection and prevalence dropped permanently from the maintained intervention initiated in 1999-2000.

Keywords : LEPROSY [epidemiology]; LEPROSY [prevention & control]; INCIDENTE; PREVALENCE; SKIN DISEASES; INFECTIOUS.

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