Abstract

HIDALGO MAYO, Axel  and  MITRANI ARENAL, Ida. Return period of coastal flooding in Cuban archipelago. Ing. hidrául. ambient. [online]. 2022, vol.43, n.1, pp.3-11.  Epub Feb 22, 2022. ISSN 1680-0338.

In this paper was calculated the return period of coastal floods for each of the coastal settlements that report this extreme event in the Cuban archipelago, based on the period 1901-2020. The chronology and classification of coastal floods for each province was used, as well as the Poisson distribution and the χ2 goodness of fit test. It is concluded that the Poisson distribution was suitable in all cases for the significance level of 5%; while the greatest hazard is presented by Havana, Baracoa and the settlements of the Gulf of Batabanó in which the occurrence of a flood event is expected at least once every three to five years.

Keywords : climate change; coastal flooding; return period.

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