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Un análisis semanal de los casos confirmados a la COVID-19 en Cuba: primeros 70 días


 
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 ISSN 1727-897X

RODRIGUEZ MONTEAGUDO, Mabel Anay et al. A weekly analysis of cases confirmed to COVID-19 in Cuba: first 70 days. []. , 18, 3, pp.485-491.   02--2020. ISSN 1727-897X.

Foundation:

COVID-19, caused by SARS-CoV2, has evolved as a pandemic that accounts for more than 1 million infections and has killed, up to now, more than 300,000 people.

Objective:

to describe the weekly behavior of confirmed cases of the disease in the country, making an assessment of its incidence.

Methods:

descriptive and trend analysis of the 10 weeks completed from Monday to Sunday of confirmed cases of COVID-19 in Cuba from March 11 to May 17, 2020. The analysis was performed with the statistical language R.

Results:

it was found that weeks 5, 6 and 7 had the highest mean of confirmed cases. In addition, it was observed that weeks 2, 3, 8 and 10 are those of greater variability. The value furthest from the mean was presented in week 8 with 74 cases on Friday and the highest values were presented between Wednesday and Saturday in 8 of the weeks studied.

Conclusion:

in Cuba a flattening of the line has been achieved, which shows in a favorable scenario and where the variations given by sporadic outbreaks and with rapid control do not significantly deform this line. This justifies few variations by weeks, with a sustained trend of decreasing number of cases.

: coronavirus infections; statistical analysis; Cuba.

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