SciELO - Scientific Electronic Library Online

 
vol.19 número3La convalecencia. Algunos comentarios a propósito de la COVID-19Percepción sobre sus habilidades especificas en estudiantes del tercer año de Estomatología. Cienfuegos, 2019 índice de autoresíndice de materiabúsqueda de artículos
Home Pagelista alfabética de revistas  

Servicios Personalizados

Revista

Articulo

Indicadores

  • No hay articulos citadosCitado por SciELO

Links relacionados

  • No hay articulos similaresSimilares en SciELO

Compartir


MediSur

versión On-line ISSN 1727-897X

Resumen

SEUC JO, Armando H; SILVA AYCAGUER, Luis Carlos; LUIS PENALVO, José  y  FERNANDEZ GONZALEZ, Lisbeth. COVID-19 in Cuba. Notes for debating statistical-mathematical methods. Medisur [online]. 2021, vol.19, n.3, pp.377-391.  Epub 30-Jun-2021. ISSN 1727-897X.

Epidemiology and the statistical-mathematical methods associated with it are fields that acquire relevance in light of the confrontation with the SARS-CoV-2 epidemic in Cuba. To optimize efforts in future battles, it is necessary to critically analyze what has been done in this regard. The objective of this work is to identify the shortcomings in the epidemiological approach and associated statistical-mathematical techniques, in the statistical treatment of the course of the COVID-19 epidemic. A documentary review was carried out, mainly of Cuban medical journals, and in the Pubmed database. Articles and reports were selected that dealt with the subject of COVID-19 from an epidemiological and/or statistical-mathematical perspective. The use of statistical-mathematical techniques without an adequate epidemiological basis can generate false expectations and make it difficult to make adequate decisions. This occurs, in particular, with models that aim to describe, analyze and predict the behavior of the curves of active cases. The issues discussed, of a statistical-epidemiological nature, can contribute modestly to the necessary debates, without which it is impossible to make an objective assessment of the situation.

Palabras clave : Coronavirus infections; models, statitiscal; epidemiology.

        · resumen en Español     · texto en Español     · Español ( pdf )