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Revista Universidad y Sociedad
versión On-line ISSN 2218-3620
Resumen
ZAMBRANO, Carlos Edison y ANDRADE ARIAS, Mariela Susana. Productivity and prices of hard corn pre and post Covid- 19 in Ecuador. Universidad y Sociedad [online]. 2021, vol.13, n.4, pp.143-150. Epub 02-Ago-2021. ISSN 2218-3620.
The hard yellow corn in Ecuador is one of the most significant products of the economy that has not been immune to the pandemic, so the objective of the research is to evaluate the effect on productivity and prices of hard corn of COVID 19. The The research is based on data from the Ministry of Agriculture and Livestock as well as the Central Bank of Ecuador. A causal model was built between productivity, prices and time before COVID-19; With this, a projection of post-COVID 19 production and prices was made. Among the results, it stands out that during the period of the pandemic, the productivity of hard corn per hectare decreases 4.2% and the same behavior was observed in corn prices hard at the producer level. The productivity of hard corn of 7 tons per hectare under an optimistic scenario is what would be expected for the country in the next five years due to the slight incidence of COVID 19. The prices of hard corn grain per quintal are presented under a pessimistic scenario. The multiple linear regression model for the corn crop is in accordance with economic theory.
Palabras clave : Productivity; hard corn; producer price; corn model; post Covid.