Resumen

GONZALEZ VAZQUEZ, Tania; VENTO TIELVES, Raymundo  y  LLANES BURON, Carlos. System of prospective actions for the disasters prevention in farms of the "Hermanos Barcón" Productive Pole. Coodes [online]. 2025, vol.13, n.1  Epub 30-Abr-2025. ISSN 2310-340X.

Climate change significantly affects agricultural production processes, due to its influence on the increase in temperatures and climate change, which severely increases the occurrence and intensity of extreme events. These reasons justify the present work in agricultural production cooperatives located in the southern plains of the province of Pinar del Río, an area characterized as an agroecosystem of marked vulnerability to the effects of climate change. The objective of the research is to propose a system of prospective actions of Environmental Management, which increases resilience and response capacity on hazards, vulnerabilities and risk to extreme events, in farms of the "Hermanos Barcón" Productive Pole. The methods used include theoretical and empirical methods, together with the application of the Delphi Method for the definition of indicators for the preparation of disaster risk and vulnerability maps, and the user satisfaction method or Iadov technique used for the validation of the action plan. The results obtained show that the farms diagnosed have a high level of risk and vulnerability, as they are located in an area that is highly susceptible to extreme events and latent threats due to climate change. The application of the system of prospective actions allows greater preparedness to face climate change and increases the capacity to respond to extreme events by increasing resilience, which guarantees the development of more sustainable agricultural and livestock production.

Palabras clave : agriculture; extreme events; climate change; hazard; vulnerability; risk.

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