<?xml version="1.0" encoding="ISO-8859-1"?><article xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance">
<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id>1684-1859</journal-id>
<journal-title><![CDATA[Revista Cubana de Informática Médica]]></journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title><![CDATA[RCIM]]></abbrev-journal-title>
<issn>1684-1859</issn>
<publisher>
<publisher-name><![CDATA[Universidad de Ciencias Médicas de La Habana]]></publisher-name>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id>S1684-18592019000200080</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title xml:lang="es"><![CDATA[Modelo predictivo del riesgo de muerte por neumonía asociada a la ventilación mecánica]]></article-title>
<article-title xml:lang="en"><![CDATA[Predictive model of the risk of death due to pneumonia associated with mechanical ventilation]]></article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Elias Sierra]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Reinaldo]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff"/>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Vargas Alonso]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Rodney]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff"/>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Pérez Capdevila]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Javier]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff"/>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Elias Armas]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Karla Sucet]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff"/>
</contrib>
</contrib-group>
<aff id="Af1">
<institution><![CDATA[,Hospital Provincial General Docente &#8220;Dr. Agostinho Neto&#750;  ]]></institution>
<addr-line><![CDATA[Guantánamo ]]></addr-line>
<country>Cuba</country>
</aff>
<pub-date pub-type="pub">
<day>00</day>
<month>12</month>
<year>2019</year>
</pub-date>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>00</day>
<month>12</month>
<year>2019</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>11</volume>
<numero>2</numero>
<fpage>80</fpage>
<lpage>87</lpage>
<copyright-statement/>
<copyright-year/>
<self-uri xlink:href="http://scielo.sld.cu/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&amp;pid=S1684-18592019000200080&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><self-uri xlink:href="http://scielo.sld.cu/scielo.php?script=sci_abstract&amp;pid=S1684-18592019000200080&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><self-uri xlink:href="http://scielo.sld.cu/scielo.php?script=sci_pdf&amp;pid=S1684-18592019000200080&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><abstract abstract-type="short" xml:lang="es"><p><![CDATA[RESUMEN  Introducción:  En la unidad de terapia intensiva del Hospital &#8220;Dr. Agostinho Neto&#750;, Guantánamo, Cuba, no hay disponible un instrumento para valorar el riesgo de muerte del paciente con neumonía asociada a la ventilación mecánica.  Objetivo:  Diseñar un instrumento para la predicción del riesgo de muerte por neumonía asociada a la ventilación mecánica.  Método:  Estudio observacional, prospectivo y longitudinal de 144 pacientes, de los que se consideró la edad, sexo, diagnóstico, estadía, tipo y etiología de la neumonía, tiempo y duración de la ventilación, y complicaciones. Se elaboró y validó un modelo predictivo de la muerte por esta neumonía.  Resultados:  La aplicación del modelo mostró su nivel de precisión, pues sobre todo fue muy específico para predecir este riesgo.  Conclusiones:  Se diseñó un modelo de probabilidad de muerte del paciente con neumonía asociada a la ventilación mecánica, que contribuyó a la valoración más objetiva de su pronóstico.]]></p></abstract>
<abstract abstract-type="short" xml:lang="en"><p><![CDATA[ABSTRACT  Introduction:  In the intensive care unit of the Hospital "Dr. Agostinho Neto&#750;, Guantanamo, Cuba, there is no instrument available to assess the risk of death of patients with pneumonia associated with mechanical ventilation.  Objective:  Design an instrument for predicting the risk of death from pneumonia associated with mechanical ventilation.  Method:  Observational, prospective and longitudinal study of 144 patients. Age, sex, diagnosis, stay, type and etiology of pneumonia, time and duration of ventilation, as well as complications were considered. A predictive model of death from this pneumonia was developed and validated.  Results:  The application of the model showed its level of precision, since above all it was very specific to predict this risk.  Conclusions:  A model of the probability of death of the patient with pneumonia associated with mechanical ventilation was designed, which contributed to the more objective assessment of the prognosis.]]></p></abstract>
<kwd-group>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[unidad de terapia intensiva]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[neumonía asociada al ventilador]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[mortalidad]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[unit of intensive therapy]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[pneumonia associated to mechanical ventilation]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[mortality]]></kwd>
</kwd-group>
</article-meta>
</front><back>
<ref-list>
<ref id="B1">
<label>1</label><nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Schweickert]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[WD]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Pohlman]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[MC]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Pohlman]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[AS]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Nigos]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[C]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[Early physical and occupational therapy in mechanically ventilated]]></article-title>
<source><![CDATA[Lancet]]></source>
<year>2009</year>
<volume>373</volume>
<page-range>1874-82</page-range></nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B2">
<label>2</label><nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Peñasco]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Y]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Duerto]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[J]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[González-Castro]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[A]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Domínguez]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[MJ]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Rodríguez Borregán]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[JC]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[Neumonía asociada a ventilación mecánica por Chryseobacterium indologenes]]></article-title>
<source><![CDATA[Med Inten]]></source>
<year>2016</year>
<volume>40</volume>
<numero>1</numero>
<issue>1</issue>
<page-range>66-7</page-range></nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B3">
<label>3</label><nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Rodríguez Martínez]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[HO]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Sánchez Lago]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[G]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[Neumonía asociada a la ventilación mecánica en la unidad de cuidados intensivos]]></article-title>
<source><![CDATA[Rev Ciencias Médicas]]></source>
<year>2016</year>
<volume>20</volume>
<numero>5</numero>
<issue>5</issue>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B4">
<label>4</label><nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Sotillo Díaz]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[JC]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Bermejo López]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[E]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[García Olivares]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[P]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Peral Gutiérrez]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[JA]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Sancho González]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[M]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Guerrero Sanz]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[JE]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[Papel de la procalcitonina plasmática en el diagnóstico de la neumonía asociada a ventilación mecánica: revisión sistemática y metaanálisis]]></article-title>
<source><![CDATA[Med Intensiva]]></source>
<year>2014</year>
<volume>38</volume>
<numero>6</numero>
<issue>6</issue>
<page-range>337-46</page-range></nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B5">
<label>5</label><nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Navarro]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[RZ]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Safonts]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[FJR]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Guibert]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[UY]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Porto]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[CMR]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[Factores de pronóstico relacionados con la mortalidad por neumonía asociada a ventilación mecánica]]></article-title>
<source><![CDATA[MEDISAN]]></source>
<year>2013</year>
<volume>17</volume>
<numero>1</numero>
<issue>1</issue>
<page-range>5-9</page-range></nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B6">
<label>6</label><nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Valdés Cordero]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[I]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Brown Sotolongo]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[C]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Delgado Rodríguez]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[AE]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Prieto Hernández]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[JA]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Linares Soto]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[R]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[Morbilidad y ortalidade en la Unidad de Cuidados Intensivos No. 3 del Hospital General Docente "Abel Santamaría", 2010]]></article-title>
<source><![CDATA[Rev Ciencias Médicas]]></source>
<year>2011</year>
<volume>15</volume>
<numero>4</numero>
<issue>4</issue>
<page-range>25-32</page-range></nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B7">
<label>7</label><nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Grossman]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[RF]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Fein]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[A]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[Diagnostic tests for ventilator associated pneumonia. Executive summary]]></article-title>
<source><![CDATA[Chest]]></source>
<year>2000</year>
<volume>177</volume>
<numero>4^s2</numero>
<issue>4^s2</issue>
<supplement>2</supplement>
<page-range>S177-81</page-range></nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B8">
<label>8</label><nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Loza]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[VA]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[Impacto de la posición del paciente sobre la incidencia de neumonía adquirida en ventilación mecánica]]></article-title>
<source><![CDATA[REMI]]></source>
<year>2010</year>
<volume>10</volume>
<numero>1</numero>
<issue>1</issue>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B9">
<label>9</label><nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Matos Rico]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[N]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Elias Sierra]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[R]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Mendoza Fonseca]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[NL]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Elias Armas]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[KS]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[Factores determinantes para el éxito de la ventilación mecánica no invasiva en unidades de cuidados intensivos]]></article-title>
<source><![CDATA[Rev Inf Cient]]></source>
<year>2017</year>
<volume>96</volume>
<numero>3</numero>
<issue>3</issue>
<page-range>395-404</page-range></nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B10">
<label>10</label><nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Díaz]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[E]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[I Martín Loeches]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[I]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Vallés]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[J]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[Neumonía nosocomial]]></article-title>
<source><![CDATA[Enferm Infecc Microbiol Clin]]></source>
<year>2013</year>
<volume>31</volume>
<numero>10</numero>
<issue>10</issue>
<page-range>692-8</page-range></nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B11">
<label>11</label><nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<collab>American Thoracic Society</collab>
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[Guidelines for the management of adults with hospital-acquired, ventilator associated, and healthcare associated pneumonia]]></article-title>
<source><![CDATA[Am J Respir Crit Care Med]]></source>
<year>2005</year>
<volume>171</volume>
<numero>4</numero>
<issue>4</issue>
<page-range>388-416</page-range></nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B12">
<label>12</label><nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[González]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[MI]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Espinosa]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[BAD]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Gustavo]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[AA]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Fragoso]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[MMC]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Mosquera]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[FMA]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[Evaluación del cumplimiento de la guía de práctica clínica para el tratamiento de la neumonía adquirida en la comunidad]]></article-title>
<source><![CDATA[MediSur]]></source>
<year>2009</year>
<volume>7</volume>
<numero>3</numero>
<issue>3</issue>
<page-range>23-31</page-range></nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B13">
<label>13</label><nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Ramirez]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[P]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Lopez-Ferraz]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[C]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Gordon]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[M]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Gimeno]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[A]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Villarreal]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[E]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Ruiz]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[J]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Menendez]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[R]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Torres]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[A]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[From starting mechanical ventilation to ventilator-associated pneumonia, choosing the right moment to start antibiotic treatment]]></article-title>
<source><![CDATA[Crit Care]]></source>
<year>2016</year>
<volume>20</volume>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B14">
<label>14</label><nlm-citation citation-type="book">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Quinto Félix]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[ML]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<source><![CDATA[Prevalencia de neumonía nosocomial en paciente con ventilación mecánica en la Unidad de Cuidados Intensivos del Hospital Regional Ayacucho - 2016]]></source>
<year>2016</year>
<page-range>49</page-range><publisher-loc><![CDATA[Perú ]]></publisher-loc>
<publisher-name><![CDATA[Universidad Nacional Mayor de San Marcos, Facultad de Medicina, Unidad de Posgrado, Cybertesis UNMSM]]></publisher-name>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B15">
<label>15</label><nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Nydahl]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[P]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Ruhl]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[AP]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Bartoszek]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[G]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Dubb]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[R]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Filipovic]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[S]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Flohr]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[HJ]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[Early mobilization of mechanically ventilated patients: a 1-day point-prevalence study in Germany]]></article-title>
<source><![CDATA[Crit Care Med]]></source>
<year>2014</year>
<volume>42</volume>
<numero>5</numero>
<issue>5</issue>
<page-range>1178-86</page-range></nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B16">
<label>16</label><nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Rodríguez]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[GRM]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Pérez]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[SR]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Roura]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[CJO]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Basulto]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[BM]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[Neumonía asociada a la ventilación mecánica en una unidad polivalente de cuidados intensivos]]></article-title>
<source><![CDATA[Rev Med Electrón]]></source>
<year>2015</year>
<volume>37</volume>
<numero>5</numero>
<issue>5</issue>
<page-range>439-51</page-range></nlm-citation>
</ref>
</ref-list>
</back>
</article>
