<?xml version="1.0" encoding="ISO-8859-1"?><article xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance">
<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id>2664-0880</journal-id>
<journal-title><![CDATA[Revista Cubana de Meteorología]]></journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title><![CDATA[Rev. Cubana Met.]]></abbrev-journal-title>
<issn>2664-0880</issn>
<publisher>
<publisher-name><![CDATA[Sociedad Meteorológica de Cuba]]></publisher-name>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id>S2664-08802019000200008</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title xml:lang="es"><![CDATA[Estado actual de la aplicación de métodos de reducción de escala a las proyecciones de cambio climático en Centroamérica y el Caribe]]></article-title>
<article-title xml:lang="en"><![CDATA[Present situation of the application of downscaling methods to the climate change projections in Central America and the Caribbean]]></article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Vichot-Llano]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Alejandro]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff"/>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Bezanilla-Morlot]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Arnoldo]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff"/>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Martínez-Castro]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Daniel]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff"/>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Centella-Artola]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Abel]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff"/>
</contrib>
</contrib-group>
<aff id="Af1">
<institution><![CDATA[,Instituto de Meteorología  ]]></institution>
<addr-line><![CDATA[ La Habana]]></addr-line>
<country>Cuba</country>
</aff>
<aff id="Af2">
<institution><![CDATA[,Instituto Geofísico del Perú  ]]></institution>
<addr-line><![CDATA[ Lima]]></addr-line>
<country>Perú</country>
</aff>
<pub-date pub-type="pub">
<day>00</day>
<month>06</month>
<year>2019</year>
</pub-date>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>00</day>
<month>06</month>
<year>2019</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>25</volume>
<numero>2</numero>
<copyright-statement/>
<copyright-year/>
<self-uri xlink:href="http://scielo.sld.cu/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&amp;pid=S2664-08802019000200008&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><self-uri xlink:href="http://scielo.sld.cu/scielo.php?script=sci_abstract&amp;pid=S2664-08802019000200008&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><self-uri xlink:href="http://scielo.sld.cu/scielo.php?script=sci_pdf&amp;pid=S2664-08802019000200008&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><abstract abstract-type="short" xml:lang="es"><p><![CDATA[RESUMEN En el artículo se realiza una descripción de los avances y el estado actual en la proyección climática en la región de Centro América y el Caribe. Se describen brevemente las características de los modelos climáticos globales y regionales que reproducen la dinámica del clima, permitiendo simular su evolución futura en función de los forzamientos de escenarios de emisión y se presenta una reseña de los principales resultados obtenidos en cuanto a las proyecciones de los campos de precipitación, temperatura y de otros rasgos climáticos regionales, como la sequía intraestival, el chorro de bajo nivel del Caribe y los ciclones tropicales. Los resultados alcanzados hasta el presente permiten afirmar que, a pesar de las incertidumbres existentes, la mayor parte de las proyecciones concuerdan en el calentamiento regional y en la reducción de las cantidades de lluvia en la región, así como el incremento de algunos eventos extremos. El análisis del conjunto de resultados alcanzados hasta la fecha sugiere que la aplicación de métodos basados en conjuntos de modelos, permite obtener resultados más robustos en las proyecciones climáticas.]]></p></abstract>
<abstract abstract-type="short" xml:lang="en"><p><![CDATA[ABSTRACT A description of the progress and current status of the climate projection in the Central American and Caribbean region is presented. The characteristics of the global and regional climate models that reproduce the dynamics of the climate and allow simulating its future evolution based on the forcing of emission scenarios are briefly described. The review summarizes the main results obtained on the projections of the fields of precipitation, temperature and other regional climatic features, such as the midsummer drought, the Caribbean low-level jet and tropical cyclones. The results achieved up to the present allow affirming that, in spite of the existing uncertainties, most of the projections agree in the regional warming and in the reduction of the amounts of rain in the region, as well as the increase of some extreme events. The analysis of the set of results achieved to date suggests that the application of methods based on model ensembles allows to obtain more robust results in the climate projections.]]></p></abstract>
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<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[modelo climático regional]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[parametrizaciones]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[extremos climáticos]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[escenarios]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[proyecciones]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[regional climate model]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[parameterization]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[climate extremes]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[scenarios]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[projections]]></kwd>
</kwd-group>
</article-meta>
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