<?xml version="1.0" encoding="ISO-8859-1"?><article xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance">
<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id>1028-4818</journal-id>
<journal-title><![CDATA[Multimed]]></journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title><![CDATA[Multimed]]></abbrev-journal-title>
<issn>1028-4818</issn>
<publisher>
<publisher-name><![CDATA[Centro Provincial de Información de Ciencias Médicas]]></publisher-name>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id>S1028-48182022000400003</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title xml:lang="es"><![CDATA[Dinámica y simulación computacional del COVID-19 en Paraguay en el mes de febrero del 2021]]></article-title>
<article-title xml:lang="en"><![CDATA[Dynamics and computational simulation of COVID-19 in Paraguay in February 2021]]></article-title>
<article-title xml:lang="pt"><![CDATA[Dinâmica e simulação computacional do COVID-19 no Paraguai em fevereiro de 2021]]></article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Quintana]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Silverio Andrés]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff"/>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Espinoza]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Rodrigo]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff"/>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Rojas]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Jorge]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff"/>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Gabaglio]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Samuel]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff"/>
</contrib>
</contrib-group>
<aff id="Af1">
<institution><![CDATA[,Universidad Nacional de Asunción Facultad de Ciencias Exactas y Naturales ]]></institution>
<addr-line><![CDATA[ ]]></addr-line>
<country>Paraguay</country>
</aff>
<aff id="Af2">
<institution><![CDATA[,University of Maryland Department of Veterinary Medicine ]]></institution>
<addr-line><![CDATA[ ]]></addr-line>
<country>USA</country>
</aff>
<pub-date pub-type="pub">
<day>00</day>
<month>08</month>
<year>2022</year>
</pub-date>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>00</day>
<month>08</month>
<year>2022</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>26</volume>
<numero>4</numero>
<copyright-statement/>
<copyright-year/>
<self-uri xlink:href="http://scielo.sld.cu/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&amp;pid=S1028-48182022000400003&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><self-uri xlink:href="http://scielo.sld.cu/scielo.php?script=sci_abstract&amp;pid=S1028-48182022000400003&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><self-uri xlink:href="http://scielo.sld.cu/scielo.php?script=sci_pdf&amp;pid=S1028-48182022000400003&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><abstract abstract-type="short" xml:lang="es"><p><![CDATA[RESUMEN La enfermedad por coronavirus del 2019es una preocupación a nivel mundial, su propagación está relacionada a características propias del virus y a la toma de acciones gubernamentales, de salud pública y hábitos sociales. Utilizar herramientas matemáticas y computacionales ayuda a tener un panorama de la situación actual y a futuro de esta problemática. Con el objetivo de reflejar el comportamiento de esta enfermedad mediante simulación con dinámica de sistemas y evaluar la cantidad de contagios activos, muertes y recuperados en Paraguay en el mes de febrero del 2021 se utilizó el software Vensim aplicando una modificación del modelo básico de epidemiología de Kermack y McKendrick que considera a la población de susceptibles, infectados y recuperados. La simulación de esta dinámica ha presentado diferencias de 758 casos activos, 216 muertes y 37009 recuperados respecto a lo reportado, siendo los casos activos la aproximación más importante del estudio.]]></p></abstract>
<abstract abstract-type="short" xml:lang="en"><p><![CDATA[ABSTRACT The 2019 coronavirus disease is a worldwide concern, its spread is related to the characteristics of the virus and the taking of government, public health and social habits. Using mathematical and computational tools help to have an overview of the current situation and a future of this problem. In order to reflect behavior of this disease through simulation with system dynamics and evaluating the number of active infections, deaths and recoveries in Paraguay in the month of February 2021, the Vensim software was released by applying a modification of the basic model of epidemiology of Kermack and McKendrick who consider the population of susceptible, processed and recovered. The simulation of this dynamic has presented differences of 758 active cases, 216 deaths and 37009 recovered with respect to what was reported, with active cases being the most important approximation of the study.]]></p></abstract>
<abstract abstract-type="short" xml:lang="pt"><p><![CDATA[RESUMO A doença do coronavírus 2019 é uma preocupação mundial, sua disseminação está relacionada às características do vírus e à toma de ações governamentais, de saúde pública e hábitos sociais. O uso de ferramentas matemáticas e computacionais ajudam a ter uma visão geral da situação atual e futura deste problema. Para refletir o comportamento desta doença através de simulação com dinâmica de sistemas e avaliar o número de infecções ativas, óbitos e recuperações no Paraguai no mês de fevereiro de 2021, foi utilizado o software Vensim, aplicando uma modificação do modelo básico de epidemiologia de Kermack e McKendrick que considera a população de suscetíveis, infectados e recuperados. A simulação dessa dinâmica apresentou diferenças de 758 casos ativos, 216 óbitos e 37.009 recuperados em relação ao informado, sendo os casos ativos a aproximação mais importante do estudo.]]></p></abstract>
<kwd-group>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[Simulación]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[COVID-19]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[SIR]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[Vensim]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[Simulation]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[COVID-19]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[SIR]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[Vensim]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="pt"><![CDATA[Simulação]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="pt"><![CDATA[COVID-19]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="pt"><![CDATA[SIR]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="pt"><![CDATA[Vensim]]></kwd>
</kwd-group>
</article-meta>
</front><back>
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