<?xml version="1.0" encoding="ISO-8859-1"?><article xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance">
<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id>1680-0338</journal-id>
<journal-title><![CDATA[Ingeniería Hidráulica y Ambiental]]></journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title><![CDATA[Ing. hidrául. ambient.]]></abbrev-journal-title>
<issn>1680-0338</issn>
<publisher>
<publisher-name><![CDATA[Centro de Investigaciones Hidráulicas (CIH). Facultad de Ingeniería Civil. Universidad Tecnológica de La Habana "José A. Hecheverría" CUJAE]]></publisher-name>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id>S1680-03382022000100048</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title xml:lang="es"><![CDATA[Aproximación a los recursos hídricos potenciales en Cuba al 2030]]></article-title>
<article-title xml:lang="en"><![CDATA[Approach to potential water resources in Cuba by 2030]]></article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Planos Gutiérrez]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Eduardo O.]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff"/>
</contrib>
</contrib-group>
<aff id="Af1">
<institution><![CDATA[,Instituto de Meteorología Centro del Clima Unidad Técnica de Cambio Climático]]></institution>
<addr-line><![CDATA[ ]]></addr-line>
<country>Cuba</country>
</aff>
<pub-date pub-type="pub">
<day>00</day>
<month>03</month>
<year>2022</year>
</pub-date>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>00</day>
<month>03</month>
<year>2022</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>43</volume>
<numero>1</numero>
<fpage>48</fpage>
<lpage>62</lpage>
<copyright-statement/>
<copyright-year/>
<self-uri xlink:href="http://scielo.sld.cu/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&amp;pid=S1680-03382022000100048&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><self-uri xlink:href="http://scielo.sld.cu/scielo.php?script=sci_abstract&amp;pid=S1680-03382022000100048&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><self-uri xlink:href="http://scielo.sld.cu/scielo.php?script=sci_pdf&amp;pid=S1680-03382022000100048&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><abstract abstract-type="short" xml:lang="es"><p><![CDATA[RESUMEN El objetivo del artículo es presentar una aproximación a los escenarios potenciales de agua en Cuba en el año 2030; acompañada con una reflexión del estado de los principales factores que intervienen en el sector hidráulico y sus compromisos con las metas de desarrollo. Basado en métodos hidrológicos tradicionales, se realiza un balance hídrico climático a escala de país, utilizando el modelo de Budyko para la línea base 1961-1990 y los escenarios climáticos obtenidos con el modelo regional &#8220;PRECIS&#8221;. Se demuestra la validez del método de Budyko y que en Cuba se está produciendo una reducción de los recursos hídricos potenciales, que se incrementará al futuro.]]></p></abstract>
<abstract abstract-type="short" xml:lang="en"><p><![CDATA[ABSTRACT The objective of the article is to present an approximation to the potential water scenarios in Cuba in the year 2030; accompanied by a reflection on the status of the main factors involved in the hydraulic sector and their commitments to development goals. Based on traditional hydrological methods and on the results obtained with geospatial information systems, a climatic water balance is carried out at the country scale, using the Budyko model, for the 1961-1990 baseline and the climatic scenarios obtained through the regional climate model &#8220;PRECIS&#8221;. The validity of the method is demonstrated Budyko and that Cuba is producing a reduction of potential water resources will be increased to the future.]]></p></abstract>
<kwd-group>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[balance hídrico]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[cambio climático]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[evapotranspiración]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[recursos hídricos]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[precipitación]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[water balance]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[climate change]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[evapotranspiration]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[water resources]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[precipitation]]></kwd>
</kwd-group>
</article-meta>
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