Abstract

PALU OROZCO, Adrián et al. Characteristic of the dengue virus and its bioclimatic prognosis in Cortés Department. MEDISAN [online]. 2017, vol.21, n.9, pp. 2002-2009. ISSN 1029-3019.

An observational, descriptive and cross-sectional study was carried out in Cortés Department, Honduras, during the period of 2003 at 2013, aimed at determining the characteristics of dengue in this region, describing its history and developing a prognosis mathematical model based on bioclimatic variables. In the series, sex didn't constitute a predisposing factor, while the age groups 5-9 and 20-49 years, being inhabitant in Choloma, Villanueva and Puerto Cortés were important elements in the emergence of dengue. Also the severe forms of the disease in children and young persons indicated a low immunologic memory and/or several exposures to serotypes of the virus. A defined, seasonal recurrent-epidemic pattern was obtained (of 4 to 5 years), because it corresponded to the rainy period of the region. Finally, it was concluded that the climate conditions of Cortés are conditioning the transmission of dengue, so that the prognosis of the epidemic events can be possible

Keywords : dengue virus; prognosis of bioclimatic prognosis of diseases; Honduras.

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