Abstract

ALARCON BORGES, Ramón Yordanis et al. Dynamics of criminal events during the covid-19 pandemic in the municipality Santiago de Cuba. Universidad y Sociedad [online]. 2021, vol.13, n.6, pp. 651-660.  Epub Dec 10, 2021. ISSN 2218-3620.

The purpose of the article is to diagnose the behavior of criminal offenses held in Santiago de Cuba, during the period of application of measures in the phase of limited autochthonous transmission of COVID-19 pandemic, declared by the Cuban State. With the use of trends analysis methods, trend component of the temporal series according to Hodrick and Prescott and the analysis of documents, it was designed an exploratory-descriptive research, which led to explore, know, investigate, calculate, identify and predict the dynamics of criminal events judged in Santiago de Cuba's municipality during the COVID-19 pandemic. The results achieved are consistent with the identification of the most recurrent criminal facts and their random variability in the interrupted time series, motivated by an exceptional event, as well as their behavior pattern in those circumstances; and the capacity to promote and develop foundations of an adaptive right to exceptional events. It can be concluded that the dynamics of criminal acts carried out during an exceptional event (Pandemic COVID-19) in the municipality of Santiago de Cuba, during the analyzed period (1-03-2020 to 30-04-2020), did not behave like a typical high-profile employer with respect to certain criminal figures.

Keywords : COVID-19; adaptive law; temporal frequency; criminal acts.

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