Abstract

ALVARADO IRIAS, Enrique Ernesto  and  COLON GARCIA, Adelfa Patricia. Determinants of adaptation within the framework of an analysis of risk and vulnerability to climate change. Universidad y Sociedad [online]. 2023, vol.15, n.2, pp. 141-151.  Epub Apr 30, 2023. ISSN 2218-3620.

Currently, the productive systems are exposed to several climatic hazards that influence their vulnerability since climatic patterns such as temperature and precipitation present too much variability that causes sensitivity in the crops, which added to a low adaptation capacity of the producers due to factors linked to human, social, cultural, financial, physical and natural capital; it increases the climatic risk of the territories; Therefore, it is critical to be able to identify the adaptation options resulting from the analysis of risk and vulnerability to climate change, in order to analyze later which are the factors that influence the adaptation process. In this regard, the present research focused on defining the determinants of the adaptation of water and soil conservation practices in the municipality of Rabinal, department of Baja Verapaz, and the municipality of San Agustín Acasaguastlán, department of El Progreso, Guatemala. The results showed that age, belonging to an ethnic group, and being risk lovers decrease the probabilities of adaptation, while experience in agriculture, training, confidence, access to credit, and a high perception of the adverse effects of the climate promote it.

Keywords : Climate risk; Vulnerability; Determinants of adaptation to climate change.

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